Track Record — Rating Accuracy
This page shows how accurately Capall's AI ratings predict UK and Irish horse racing outcomes. Every number is read live from the settled Betfair SP ledger — no cherry-picking, no rounding, no static strings.
The headline metric is the top-3 placed rate: of every runner rated in Capall's top 3 for a race, the share that actually placed (finished in the places), settled at Betfair SP. This is compared against the market baseline — the equivalent figure for the market's top-3 priced runners — so the edge is legible and honest.
A secondary stat shows the top-1 win rate: of every runner rated #1 by Capall's CMR, the share that won, compared against the market rank-1 win baseline (~21.9% historically).
We do not display fabricated stats. If the settled sample is below the minimum threshold (600+ selections), the headline figure shows "Pending" rather than a number based on insufficient data.
This is the rating accuracy receipt — it measures how well the model ranks runners. For the betting-signal returns ledger (ROI, win rate, place rate per strategy), see The Audit.
Data updates nightly from the calibration cron. Last-update timestamp shown on the live page.